Egypt's natural gas production fell to a three-year low in the first five months of 2023, figures from the Joint Organisations Data Initiative (JODI) show, raising questions about the country's efforts to position itself as a regional energy hub.
Currently the country is grappling with power shortages when a heatwave has driven up demand for cooling.
Gas production between January and May declined by 9% year-on-year and 12% when compared to the same period in 2021.
Egypt, which faces growing demand for gas from its population of 105 million, has been seeking a regional supply role, selling its own gas and re-exporting Israeli gas as liquefied natural gas (LNG) to the Middle East, Africa and Europe.
Large discoveries
It received a boost from Italian company Eni's discovery of the giant Zohr gas field in 2015, and started importing from Israel in 2020.
But there have been few large discoveries since, and a significant increase in supplies from Israel would only be possible after major infrastructure investment.
Production at Zohr stands at 2.3 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd), the government said last month, down from 2.7 bcfd in 2019.
Analysts and an industry source said water infiltration issues at Zohr, which had an estimated 30 tcf of gas reserves and a design capacity of 3.2 bcfd, have held back production.
Production problems
"The decline in production from the field is having a notable impact on gas output as the field accounts for approximately 40% of the country's total gas production," said O lumide Ajayi, senior LNG analyst at LSEG.
Both Eni and the Egyptian government last week denied production problems at Zohr. The government says work is under way on Zohr's 20th well.
Electricity Minister Mohamed Shaker told local media in July that the power cuts resulted from his ministry receiving lower quantities of natural gas and fuel oil.
Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly later denied that natural gas shortages or exports were a factor in the power cuts, and said extra mazut, a carbon intensive fuel oil the government has resorted to for power generation, would be imported.
Egypt's petroleum and electricity ministries did not respond to a request for comment.
